BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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UNC Wilmington

Class: 1 Class Rank: 180 Conference: Colonial Record: (12-6) Overall: (22-9) Overall Strength =   21.57

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    24.11  56  69    1  43 ( 19- 12) North Carolina          2.25    -15.25                      
  2 11-11-2022 Home    W    30.26 104  55   ZZ 184 (  0-  2) Allen                   8.41 *   40.59                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    L    15.16  53  74    1  52 ( 15- 16) Oklahoma               -6.70    -14.30                      
  4 11-18-2022 Away    L     9.39  50  86    1   4 ( 24-  7) Connecticut           -12.47    -23.53                      
  5 11-21-2022 Home    W    21.86  94  47   ZZ 228 (  0-  1) Mt Olive               -0.00 *   47.00                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral W    37.77  68  54    1 149 ( 17- 15) Missouri St            15.91     -1.91                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral W    26.55  68  66    1 128 ( 21- 10) Vermont                 4.69     -2.69                      
  8 11-27-2022 Neutral W    35.12  55  51    1  68 ( 25-  6) North Texas            13.26     -9.26                      
  9 11-30-2022 Away    W    20.85  60  58    1 291 ( 11- 20) Coastal Car            -1.01      3.01                      
 10 12-06-2022 Home    W    30.70  74  61    1 196 ( 15- 15) East Carolina           8.84      4.16                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    W    42.11  81  53    1 239 ( 13- 16) Jacksonville           20.25      7.75                      
 12 12-18-2022 Home    W    13.74  85  82    1 303 ( 14- 17) High Point             -8.12     11.12                      
 13 12-21-2022 Away    W    30.03  74  66    1 229 ( 16- 17) Campbell                8.17     -0.17                      
 14 12-28-2022 Away    W *  24.41  68  55    1 349 (  7- 26) Monmouth NJ             2.56     10.44                      
 15 12-31-2022 Home    W *  21.54  82  65    1 352 (  8- 24) Hampton                -0.32     17.32                      
 16 01-04-2023 Away    W *  29.68  81  66    1 337 (  8- 24) Elon                    7.83      7.17                      
 17 01-07-2023 Away    W *  20.99  66  61    1 313 ( 13- 19) NC A&T                 -0.87      5.87                      
 18 01-11-2023 Home    L *  26.04  69  71    1  72 ( 28-  3) Col Charleston          4.18     -6.18                      
 19 01-14-2023 Home    L *   8.98  67  69    1 309 ( 13- 19) William & Mary        -12.88     10.88                      
 20 01-16-2023 Home    W *  15.93  62  54    1 337 (  8- 24) Elon                   -5.92     13.92                      
 21 01-19-2023 Away    L *   6.95  46  70    1  96 ( 23-  8) Hofstra               -14.91     -9.09                      
 22 01-21-2023 Away    W *  25.74  62  51    1 332 ( 11- 21) Stony Brook             3.89      7.11                      
 23 01-26-2023 Home    W *   7.66  52  49    1 349 (  7- 26) Monmouth NJ           -14.19     17.19                      
 24 02-02-2023 Home    W *  33.24  87  63    1 313 ( 13- 19) NC A&T                 11.38     12.62                      
 25 02-04-2023 Away    W *  24.73  70  63    1 309 ( 13- 19) William & Mary          2.87      4.13                      
 26 02-08-2023 Away    L *   2.79  61  93    1  72 ( 28-  3) Col Charleston        -19.06    -12.94                      
 27 02-11-2023 Home    W *  21.86  71  59    1 312 ( 10- 20) Northeastern            0.00     12.00                      
 28 02-16-2023 Away    W *  25.48  72  71 2  1 195 ( 17- 14) Drexel                  3.62     -2.62                      
 29 02-18-2023 Away    L *  12.80  66  75    1 230 ( 17- 15) Delaware               -9.06      0.06                      
 30 02-23-2023 Home    W *  14.99  76  69    1 332 ( 11- 21) Stony Brook            -6.86     13.86                      
 31 02-25-2023 Home    L *  16.11  53  57    1 154 ( 20- 11) Towson                 -5.74      1.74                      
 32 03/05/2023 Neutral   *                   1 195 ( 17- 14) Drexel                            0.46            
      Averages              21.86  68.8 64.0

Best game:   42.11 = 28 point win over Jacksonville
Worst game:   2.79 = 32 point loss to Col Charleston
Team stdev:   9.58